Kutengeserana nesimbi yesimbi yesimbi: tarisiro yemusika wepasi rose wemhangura we2026–2030

I. Kuona Kwakakosha: Mhangura Inoramba Iri Munzira Yenguva Refu Yenzombe, Asi Kusagadzikana Kwemitengo Kuchawedzera Zvikuru

Cymber anotenda kuti musika wemhangura wakacheneswa kubva muna 2026 kusvika 2030 ucharamba uine chiyero chakasimba kusvika padanho rekushomeka kwemari, nepakati pemutengo wegore negore unotarisirwa kuchinja uchikwira gore negore mukati mehuwandu hwezvinhu zvinotengeswa.US$10,800–12,500 pataniZvinhu zvikuru zvinofambisa zvinhu zvinosanganisira:

• Kudiwa kwakaoma kwakawedzerakubva mukudyara kwegridi yemagetsi uye kuvaka nzvimbo yedata (huwandu hwekukura kwecompound pagore hwe4.8%–5.5%);
• Kunonoka kwekushandiswa kwemari pakupera kwekuchera, zvichikonzera kudzikira kwekuwanda kwezvinhu zvitsva zviri kuuya online (kukura kwekugadzirwa kwemhangura pasi rose kwakacherwa kwemari chete).1.2%–1.8% pagorekubva 2026 kusvika 2028);
• Zvipingamupinyi pahurongwa hwekudzokorodza marara emhangura munyika dzakakura dzeupfumi nekuda kwemitemo yezvakatipoteredza uye zvipingamupinyi zvekuunganidza, zvichiita kuti kuchinjika kwemhangura kuve kwakaderera pane zvaitarisirwa.

Panguva imwe chete, kuchinja kwehupfumi hwenyika uye mamiriro ezvematongerwo enyika kuchaita kuti kusagadzikana kwemitengo kuwedzere zvakanyanya zvichienzaniswa nenguva ya2021-2024. Kuchinja kwemitengo kwekota imwe neimwe kunotarisirwa kusvika18%–25%, zvichigadzira mikana yakakura yekudzivirira njodzi uye mukana wekuwana purofiti yemaumbirwo emakambani ane hunyanzvi hwakakwana hwekutarisira njodzi.

II. Zviziviso zveNjodzi Zvishoma nezvishoma

Kubva muhafu yechipiri ya2026 kusvika muhafu yekutanga ya2027, mukana wekuti zvinhu zvisaenderane nezvinodiwa nevanhu utange kushanda kwenguva pfupi, zvichikonzerwa ne:

• Kumbomira pakati pedanho rekudyara mari muChina kuburikidza nemagetsi;
• Kuderera kwekukurumidza kwekuvaka nzvimbo dzedata muEurope neUnited States;
• Kuwedzera kwekugadzirwa kwezvicherwa kwakatangira kare pane zvakarongwa mumigodhi mitsva muPeru neChile.

Kana Federal Reserve ikatanga kuderedzwa kwemitengo yemubereko muna 2026, kudzikira nekukurumidza kweUS dollar index kwaizowedzera hunhu hwemari yemhangura, zvichikonzera kuti mitengo ikwire zvakanyanya isati yadzikira nekukurumidza.

Kusawirirana kwezvematongerwo enyika kana shanduko dzemitemo munyika huru dzinogadzira mhangura (semuenzaniso, kugadziriswa kwemitero yemigodhi muChile kana dambudziko remagetsi muZambia) zviri kuramba zvichikonzera njodzi dzisinganyanyi kukosha dzekutengeswa kwemagetsi.